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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

2. Bundesliga · Matchweek 15

Dynamo Dresden

DYN

Energie Cottbus

ENE

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Dynamo Dresden45%
Draw25%
Energie Cottbus30%

Expected goals

1.75 – 1.42

Over 2.5

60%

Both to score

63%

Fair handicap

-0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–110.7%
  • 2–19.1%
  • 1–07.9%
  • 1–27.2%
  • 2–26.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Dynamo Dresden will have the ball; Energie Cottbus will not mind.

58%Possession49%
31%Territory41%
42%From set plays23%
0.09Chance quality0.11
4.0%Directness6.7%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Dynamo Dresden, 3 for Energie Cottbus. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 45 matches, not the full season.