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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

2. Bundesliga · Matchweek 15

Magdeburg

MAG

1. FC Nürnberg

FCN

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Magdeburg49%
Draw24%
1. FC Nürnberg26%

Expected goals

1.83 – 1.32

Over 2.5

60%

Both to score

62%

Fair handicap

-0.50

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–110.5%
  • 2–19.5%
  • 1–08.4%
  • 2–07.0%
  • 1–26.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Magdeburg get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.

60%Possession61%
38%Territory42%
44%From set plays24%
0.11Chance quality0.07
7.6%Directness5.0%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Magdeburg, 3 for 1. FC Nürnberg. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 90 matches, not the full season.