2. Bundesliga · Matchweek 15
Holstein Kiel
HOL
Hannover 96
HAN
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Holstein Kiel33%
Draw28%
Hannover 9639%
Expected goals
1.23 – 1.34
Over 2.5
47%
Both to score
54%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.8%
- 0–110.6%
- 1–09.6%
- 0–08.8%
- 1–28.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
45%Possession50%
28%Territory37%
30%From set plays44%
0.11Chance quality0.10
7.2%Directness6.4%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Holstein Kiel, 3 for Hannover 96. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Holstein Kiel
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 90 matches, not the full season.