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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

2. Bundesliga · Matchweek 15

Greuther Fürth

GRE

Wolfsburg

WOL

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Greuther Fürth33%
Draw27%
Wolfsburg40%

Expected goals

1.32 – 1.48

Over 2.5

52%

Both to score

58%

Fair handicap

0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–112.0%
  • 0–19.4%
  • 1–28.7%
  • 1–08.3%
  • 2–17.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Wolfsburg will have the ball; Greuther Fürth will not mind.

50%Possession62%
27%Territory39%
18%From set plays20%
0.06Chance quality0.06
6.7%Directness4.1%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Greuther Fürth, 3 for Wolfsburg. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 90 matches, not the full season.