2. Bundesliga · Matchweek 15
Greuther Fürth
GRE
Wolfsburg
WOL
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Greuther Fürth41%
Draw26%
Wolfsburg34%
Expected goals
1.60 – 1.45
Over 2.5
58%
Both to score
62%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.2%
- 2–18.7%
- 1–08.1%
- 1–27.8%
- 0–17.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Wolfsburg get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
55%Possession56%
40%Territory35%
10%From set plays31%
0.10Chance quality0.12
5.7%Directness5.1%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Greuther Fürth, 3 for Wolfsburg. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 45 matches, not the full season.