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2. Bundesliga · Matchweek 15

Eintracht Braunschweig

EIN

Karlsruher SC

KAR

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Eintracht Braunschweig48%
Draw27%
Karlsruher SC25%

Expected goals

1.53 – 1.06

Over 2.5

47%

Both to score

52%

Fair handicap

-0.50

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–112.2%
  • 1–012.0%
  • 2–19.3%
  • 0–08.5%
  • 2–08.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.

51%Possession45%
35%Territory40%
17%From set plays32%
0.08Chance quality0.09
5.9%Directness6.5%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Eintracht Braunschweig, 3 for Karlsruher SC. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 90 matches, not the full season.