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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

2. Bundesliga · Matchweek 15

Eintracht Braunschweig

EIN

Karlsruher SC

KAR

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Eintracht Braunschweig46%
Draw25%
Karlsruher SC29%

Expected goals

1.72 – 1.35

Over 2.5

58%

Both to score

62%

Fair handicap

-0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–111.0%
  • 2–19.3%
  • 1–08.5%
  • 1–27.0%
  • 2–06.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Karlsruher SC get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.

46%Possession49%
37%Territory40%
17%From set plays43%
0.12Chance quality0.09
5.8%Directness6.0%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Eintracht Braunschweig, 3 for Karlsruher SC. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 45 matches, not the full season.