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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

2. Bundesliga · Matchweek 15

Bochum

BOC

FC Heidenheim

FCH

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Bochum45%
Draw27%
FC Heidenheim28%

Expected goals

1.52 – 1.18

Over 2.5

50%

Both to score

55%

Fair handicap

-0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–112.2%
  • 1–010.7%
  • 2–19.2%
  • 0–18.1%
  • 0–07.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Bochum will have the ball; FC Heidenheim will not mind.

55%Possession40%
37%Territory30%
26%From set plays28%
0.09Chance quality0.17
4.9%Directness9.1%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Bochum, 3 for FC Heidenheim. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 45 matches, not the full season.