2. Bundesliga · Matchweek 14
Wolfsburg
WOL
Magdeburg
MAG
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Wolfsburg41%
Draw26%
Magdeburg33%
Expected goals
1.57 – 1.42
Over 2.5
56%
Both to score
61%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.4%
- 2–18.7%
- 1–08.3%
- 1–27.8%
- 0–17.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
56%Possession52%
35%Territory36%
31%From set plays26%
0.12Chance quality0.07
5.1%Directness6.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Wolfsburg, 3 for Magdeburg. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 45 matches, not the full season.