2. Bundesliga · Matchweek 14
Wolfsburg
WOL
Magdeburg
MAG
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Wolfsburg34%
Draw26%
Magdeburg39%
Expected goals
1.43 – 1.54
Over 2.5
56%
Both to score
61%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.5%
- 1–28.6%
- 0–18.3%
- 2–17.9%
- 1–07.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Magdeburg get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
62%Possession60%
39%Territory38%
20%From set plays44%
0.06Chance quality0.11
4.1%Directness7.6%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Wolfsburg, 3 for Magdeburg. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 90 matches, not the full season.