2. Bundesliga · Matchweek 14
St. Pauli
STP
FC Heidenheim
FCH
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
St. Pauli37%
Draw28%
FC Heidenheim35%
Expected goals
1.35 – 1.31
Over 2.5
49%
Both to score
55%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.6%
- 1–09.8%
- 0–19.5%
- 2–18.2%
- 0–08.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
St. Pauli will have the ball; FC Heidenheim will not mind.
52%Possession40%
47%Territory30%
32%From set plays28%
0.09Chance quality0.17
4.6%Directness9.1%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for St. Pauli, 3 for FC Heidenheim. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 45 matches, not the full season.