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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

2. Bundesliga · Matchweek 14

1. FC Nürnberg

FCN

Bochum

BOC

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

1. FC Nürnberg43%
Draw27%
Bochum30%

Expected goals

1.52 – 1.26

Over 2.5

52%

Both to score

57%

Fair handicap

-0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–112.0%
  • 1–09.9%
  • 2–19.0%
  • 0–18.0%
  • 1–27.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

1. FC Nürnberg will have the ball; Bochum will not mind.

61%Possession45%
42%Territory39%
24%From set plays38%
0.07Chance quality0.10
5.0%Directness6.1%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for 1. FC Nürnberg, 3 for Bochum. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 90 matches, not the full season.