2. Bundesliga · Matchweek 14
Karlsruher SC
KAR
Holstein Kiel
HOL
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Karlsruher SC38%
Draw27%
Holstein Kiel35%
Expected goals
1.45 – 1.38
Over 2.5
53%
Both to score
58%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.0%
- 1–08.9%
- 0–18.5%
- 2–18.5%
- 1–28.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
49%Possession53%
40%Territory40%
43%From set plays35%
0.09Chance quality0.10
6.0%Directness4.9%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Karlsruher SC, 3 for Holstein Kiel. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Karlsruher SC
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 45 matches, not the full season.