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2. Bundesliga · Matchweek 14

Kaiserslautern

KAI

Greuther Fürth

GRE

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Kaiserslautern50%
Draw26%
Greuther Fürth24%

Expected goals

1.63 – 1.10

Over 2.5

51%

Both to score

55%

Fair handicap

-0.50

Most likely scorelines

  • 1111.8%
  • 1011.1%
  • 219.6%
  • 208.3%
  • 007.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Kaiserslautern get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.

48%Possession55%
41%Territory40%
28%From set plays10%
0.09Chance quality0.10
5.7%Directness5.7%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Kaiserslautern, 3 for Greuther Fürth. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 45 matches, not the full season.