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2. Bundesliga · Matchweek 14

Hannover 96

HAN

Hertha BSC

HER

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Hannover 9631%
Draw27%
Hertha BSC41%

Expected goals

1.24 – 1.46

Over 2.5

50%

Both to score

56%

Fair handicap

0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–112.3%
  • 0–110.2%
  • 1–28.8%
  • 1–08.5%
  • 0–07.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Hertha BSC will have the ball; Hannover 96 will not mind.

50%Possession59%
37%Territory39%
44%From set plays7%
0.10Chance quality0.15
6.4%Directness4.6%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Hannover 96, 3 for Hertha BSC. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 90 matches, not the full season.