2. Bundesliga · Matchweek 14
Hannover 96
HAN
Hertha BSC
HER
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Hannover 9645%
Draw25%
Hertha BSC30%
Expected goals
1.67 – 1.36
Over 2.5
57%
Both to score
61%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.2%
- 2–19.1%
- 1–08.6%
- 1–27.2%
- 0–16.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
55%Possession48%
40%Territory35%
25%From set plays28%
0.14Chance quality0.12
4.3%Directness6.7%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Hannover 96, 3 for Hertha BSC. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 45 matches, not the full season.