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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

2. Bundesliga · Matchweek 14

Darmstadt

DAR

Eintracht Braunschweig

EIN

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Darmstadt40%
Draw30%
Eintracht Braunschweig30%

Expected goals

1.23 – 1.04

Over 2.5

40%

Both to score

47%

Fair handicap

-0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–113.3%
  • 1–012.9%
  • 0–011.6%
  • 0–110.7%
  • 2–18.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Eintracht Braunschweig will have the ball; Darmstadt will not mind.

43%Possession51%
38%Territory35%
22%From set plays17%
0.08Chance quality0.08
4.5%Directness5.9%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Darmstadt, 3 for Eintracht Braunschweig. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 90 matches, not the full season.