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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

2. Bundesliga · Matchweek 14

Energie Cottbus

ENE

VfL Osnabrück

VFL

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Energie Cottbus49%
Draw24%
VfL Osnabrück27%

Expected goals

1.85 – 1.37

Over 2.5

61%

Both to score

64%

Fair handicap

-0.50

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–110.3%
  • 2–19.4%
  • 1–07.9%
  • 1–26.7%
  • 2–06.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Energie Cottbus will have the ball; VfL Osnabrück will not mind.

49%Possession40%
41%Territory32%
23%From set plays26%
0.11Chance quality0.13
6.7%Directness5.0%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Energie Cottbus, 3 for VfL Osnabrück. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 45 matches, not the full season.