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2. Bundesliga · Matchweek 13

VfL Osnabrück

VFL

Hannover 96

HAN

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

VfL Osnabrück34%
Draw27%
Hannover 9639%

Expected goals

1.33 – 1.44

Over 2.5

51%

Both to score

57%

Fair handicap

0.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–112.2%
  • 0–19.4%
  • 1–08.6%
  • 1–28.6%
  • 2–17.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Hannover 96 get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.

42%Possession50%
34%Territory37%
21%From set plays44%
0.15Chance quality0.10
4.9%Directness6.4%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for VfL Osnabrück, 3 for Hannover 96. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 90 matches, not the full season.