2. Bundesliga · Matchweek 13
Hertha BSC
HER
Karlsruher SC
KAR
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Hertha BSC69%
Draw19%
Karlsruher SC12%
Expected goals
2.21 – 0.84
Over 2.5
58%
Both to score
51%
Fair handicap
-1.25
Most likely scorelines
- 2–011.7%
- 1–011.1%
- 2–19.7%
- 1–18.7%
- 3–08.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Hertha BSC will have the ball; Karlsruher SC will not mind.
59%Possession45%
39%Territory40%
7%From set plays32%
0.15Chance quality0.09
4.6%Directness6.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Hertha BSC, 3 for Karlsruher SC. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Hertha BSC
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 90 matches, not the full season.