2. Bundesliga · Matchweek 13
FC Heidenheim
FCH
1. FC Nürnberg
FCN
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
FC Heidenheim34%
Draw27%
1. FC Nürnberg39%
Expected goals
1.37 – 1.46
Over 2.5
53%
Both to score
58%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.0%
- 0–19.0%
- 1–28.5%
- 1–08.4%
- 2–17.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
1. FC Nürnberg will have the ball; FC Heidenheim will not mind.
40%Possession54%
30%Territory35%
28%From set plays13%
0.17Chance quality0.10
9.1%Directness4.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for FC Heidenheim, 3 for 1. FC Nürnberg. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 45 matches, not the full season.