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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

2. Bundesliga · Matchweek 13

FC Heidenheim

FCH

1. FC Nürnberg

FCN

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

FC Heidenheim47%
Draw24%
1. FC Nürnberg29%

Expected goals

1.83 – 1.43

Over 2.5

62%

Both to score

65%

Fair handicap

-0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–110.3%
  • 2–19.2%
  • 1–07.5%
  • 1–27.0%
  • 2–26.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

1. FC Nürnberg will have the ball; FC Heidenheim will not mind.

51%Possession61%
34%Territory42%
45%From set plays24%
0.09Chance quality0.07
7.6%Directness5.0%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for FC Heidenheim, 3 for 1. FC Nürnberg. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 90 matches, not the full season.