2. Bundesliga · Matchweek 13
Greuther Fürth
GRE
Arminia Bielefeld
ARM
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Greuther Fürth36%
Draw28%
Arminia Bielefeld37%
Expected goals
1.36 – 1.39
Over 2.5
51%
Both to score
57%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.3%
- 0–19.3%
- 1–09.0%
- 1–28.3%
- 2–18.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Arminia Bielefeld get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
55%Possession50%
40%Territory33%
10%From set plays33%
0.10Chance quality0.08
5.7%Directness5.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Greuther Fürth, 3 for Arminia Bielefeld. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 45 matches, not the full season.