2. Bundesliga · Matchweek 12
St. Pauli
STP
Bochum
BOC
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
St. Pauli44%
Draw28%
Bochum28%
Expected goals
1.43 – 1.10
Over 2.5
46%
Both to score
52%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.6%
- 1–011.8%
- 0–09.1%
- 2–19.0%
- 0–18.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
St. Pauli will have the ball; Bochum will not mind.
56%Possession45%
42%Territory40%
31%From set plays39%
0.11Chance quality0.10
2.9%Directness5.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for St. Pauli, 3 for Bochum. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 90 matches, not the full season.