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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

2. Bundesliga · Matchweek 12

Karlsruher SC

KAR

VfL Osnabrück

VFL

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Karlsruher SC44%
Draw25%
VfL Osnabrück30%

Expected goals

1.67 – 1.36

Over 2.5

57%

Both to score

61%

Fair handicap

-0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–111.2%
  • 2–19.1%
  • 1–08.6%
  • 1–27.2%
  • 0–16.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Karlsruher SC will have the ball; VfL Osnabrück will not mind.

49%Possession40%
40%Territory32%
43%From set plays26%
0.09Chance quality0.13
6.0%Directness5.0%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Karlsruher SC, 3 for VfL Osnabrück. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 45 matches, not the full season.