2. Bundesliga · Matchweek 12
Kaiserslautern
KAI
Dynamo Dresden
DYN
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Kaiserslautern42%
Draw26%
Dynamo Dresden32%
Expected goals
1.58 – 1.37
Over 2.5
56%
Both to score
60%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.5%
- 2–18.9%
- 1–08.7%
- 1–27.6%
- 0–17.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Dynamo Dresden get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
44%Possession49%
29%Territory31%
19%From set plays39%
0.11Chance quality0.15
5.7%Directness4.7%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Kaiserslautern, 3 for Dynamo Dresden. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 90 matches, not the full season.