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2. Bundesliga · Matchweek 12

Kaiserslautern

KAI

Dynamo Dresden

DYN

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Kaiserslautern47%
Draw27%
Dynamo Dresden26%

Expected goals

1.53 – 1.09

Over 2.5

48%

Both to score

53%

Fair handicap

-0.50

Most likely scorelines

  • 1112.2%
  • 1011.6%
  • 219.3%
  • 008.3%
  • 208.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Dynamo Dresden will have the ball; Kaiserslautern will not mind.

48%Possession58%
41%Territory31%
28%From set plays42%
0.09Chance quality0.09
5.7%Directness4.0%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Kaiserslautern, 3 for Dynamo Dresden. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 45 matches, not the full season.