2. Bundesliga · Matchweek 12
Hannover 96
HAN
Greuther Fürth
GRE
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Hannover 9658%
Draw23%
Greuther Fürth19%
Expected goals
1.98 – 1.09
Over 2.5
58%
Both to score
58%
Fair handicap
-0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.1%
- 2–110.0%
- 1–09.8%
- 2–09.0%
- 3–16.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
55%Possession55%
40%Territory40%
25%From set plays10%
0.14Chance quality0.10
4.3%Directness5.7%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Hannover 96, 3 for Greuther Fürth. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 45 matches, not the full season.