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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

2. Bundesliga · Matchweek 12

Hannover 96

HAN

Greuther Fürth

GRE

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Hannover 9661%
Draw22%
Greuther Fürth16%

Expected goals

1.95 – 0.94

Over 2.5

55%

Both to score

53%

Fair handicap

-1.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–011.4%
  • 2–010.5%
  • 1–110.1%
  • 2–110.0%
  • 3–16.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Hannover 96 get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.

50%Possession50%
37%Territory27%
44%From set plays18%
0.10Chance quality0.06
6.4%Directness6.7%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Hannover 96, 3 for Greuther Fürth. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 90 matches, not the full season.