2. Bundesliga · Matchweek 12
Darmstadt
DAR
FC Heidenheim
FCH
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Darmstadt41%
Draw27%
FC Heidenheim33%
Expected goals
1.52 – 1.34
Over 2.5
53%
Both to score
59%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.9%
- 1–09.1%
- 2–18.8%
- 0–18.0%
- 1–27.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Darmstadt get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
39%Possession40%
25%Territory30%
50%From set plays28%
0.12Chance quality0.17
5.4%Directness9.1%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Darmstadt, 3 for FC Heidenheim. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 45 matches, not the full season.