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2. Bundesliga · Matchweek 12

Darmstadt

DAR

FC Heidenheim

FCH

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Darmstadt36%
Draw28%
FC Heidenheim36%

Expected goals

1.35 – 1.35

Over 2.5

50%

Both to score

56%

Fair handicap

0.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–112.4%
  • 1–09.4%
  • 0–19.4%
  • 2–18.2%
  • 1–28.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

FC Heidenheim will have the ball; Darmstadt will not mind.

43%Possession51%
38%Territory34%
22%From set plays45%
0.08Chance quality0.09
4.5%Directness7.6%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Darmstadt, 3 for FC Heidenheim. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 90 matches, not the full season.