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2. Bundesliga · Matchweek 12

Energie Cottbus

ENE

Hertha BSC

HER

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Energie Cottbus17%
Draw22%
Hertha BSC60%

Expected goals

1.01 – 1.99

Over 2.5

57%

Both to score

56%

Fair handicap

1.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 0–110.5%
  • 1–110.0%
  • 1–210.0%
  • 0–29.8%
  • 1–36.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Hertha BSC will have the ball; Energie Cottbus will not mind.

45%Possession59%
31%Territory39%
12%From set plays7%
0.10Chance quality0.15
8.8%Directness4.6%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Energie Cottbus, 3 for Hertha BSC. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 90 matches, not the full season.