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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

2. Bundesliga · Matchweek 12

Arminia Bielefeld

ARM

Magdeburg

MAG

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Arminia Bielefeld36%
Draw28%
Magdeburg36%

Expected goals

1.30 – 1.30

Over 2.5

47%

Both to score

54%

Fair handicap

0.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–112.7%
  • 0–110.0%
  • 1–09.9%
  • 0–08.7%
  • 1–28.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Magdeburg will have the ball; Arminia Bielefeld will not mind.

43%Possession60%
34%Territory38%
33%From set plays44%
0.07Chance quality0.11
6.5%Directness7.6%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Arminia Bielefeld, 3 for Magdeburg. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 90 matches, not the full season.