2. Bundesliga · Matchweek 11
FC Heidenheim
FCH
Hannover 96
HAN
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
FC Heidenheim40%
Draw26%
Hannover 9634%
Expected goals
1.56 – 1.45
Over 2.5
57%
Both to score
61%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.4%
- 2–18.6%
- 1–08.2%
- 1–27.9%
- 0–17.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
51%Possession50%
34%Territory37%
45%From set plays44%
0.09Chance quality0.10
7.6%Directness6.4%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for FC Heidenheim, 3 for Hannover 96. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 90 matches, not the full season.