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2. Bundesliga · Matchweek 11

FC Heidenheim

FCH

Hannover 96

HAN

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

FC Heidenheim33%
Draw26%
Hannover 9641%

Expected goals

1.42 – 1.58

Over 2.5

56%

Both to score

61%

Fair handicap

0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1111.4%
  • 128.8%
  • 018.3%
  • 217.8%
  • 107.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Hannover 96 will have the ball; FC Heidenheim will not mind.

40%Possession55%
30%Territory40%
28%From set plays25%
0.17Chance quality0.14
9.1%Directness4.3%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for FC Heidenheim, 3 for Hannover 96. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 45 matches, not the full season.