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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

2. Bundesliga · Matchweek 11

Eintracht Braunschweig

EIN

Energie Cottbus

ENE

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Eintracht Braunschweig51%
Draw26%
Energie Cottbus24%

Expected goals

1.65 – 1.07

Over 2.5

50%

Both to score

54%

Fair handicap

-0.50

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–111.7%
  • 1–011.4%
  • 2–19.6%
  • 2–08.6%
  • 0–07.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.

51%Possession45%
35%Territory31%
17%From set plays12%
0.08Chance quality0.10
5.9%Directness8.8%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Eintracht Braunschweig, 3 for Energie Cottbus. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 90 matches, not the full season.