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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

2. Bundesliga · Matchweek 11

Eintracht Braunschweig

EIN

Energie Cottbus

ENE

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Eintracht Braunschweig43%
Draw25%
Energie Cottbus32%

Expected goals

1.73 – 1.49

Over 2.5

61%

Both to score

65%

Fair handicap

-0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–110.5%
  • 2–18.9%
  • 1–27.5%
  • 1–07.4%
  • 2–26.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.

46%Possession49%
37%Territory41%
17%From set plays23%
0.12Chance quality0.11
5.8%Directness6.7%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Eintracht Braunschweig, 3 for Energie Cottbus. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 45 matches, not the full season.