2. Bundesliga · Matchweek 11
Bochum
BOC
Karlsruher SC
KAR
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Bochum53%
Draw25%
Karlsruher SC22%
Expected goals
1.73 – 1.08
Over 2.5
53%
Both to score
55%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.3%
- 1–010.9%
- 2–19.8%
- 2–08.8%
- 0–06.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Karlsruher SC get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
55%Possession49%
37%Territory40%
26%From set plays43%
0.09Chance quality0.09
4.9%Directness6.0%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Bochum, 3 for Karlsruher SC. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 45 matches, not the full season.