2. Bundesliga · Matchweek 10
St. Pauli
STP
1. FC Nürnberg
FCN
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
St. Pauli29%
Draw29%
1. FC Nürnberg42%
Expected goals
1.10 – 1.36
Over 2.5
44%
Both to score
51%
Fair handicap
0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.9%
- 0–112.0%
- 0–09.8%
- 1–09.5%
- 1–28.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
St. Pauli get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
52%Possession54%
47%Territory35%
32%From set plays13%
0.09Chance quality0.10
4.6%Directness4.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for St. Pauli, 3 for 1. FC Nürnberg. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 45 matches, not the full season.