2. Bundesliga · Matchweek 10
Kaiserslautern
KAI
Hertha BSC
HER
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Kaiserslautern37%
Draw28%
Hertha BSC36%
Expected goals
1.38 – 1.37
Over 2.5
51%
Both to score
57%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.3%
- 1–09.2%
- 0–19.1%
- 2–18.2%
- 1–28.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
48%Possession48%
41%Territory35%
28%From set plays28%
0.09Chance quality0.12
5.7%Directness6.7%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Kaiserslautern, 3 for Hertha BSC. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Kaiserslautern
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 45 matches, not the full season.