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2. Bundesliga · Matchweek 10

Hannover 96

HAN

Dynamo Dresden

DYN

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Hannover 9656%
Draw24%
Dynamo Dresden21%

Expected goals

1.85 – 1.08

Over 2.5

55%

Both to score

57%

Fair handicap

-0.75

Most likely scorelines

  • 1110.7%
  • 1010.4%
  • 219.9%
  • 209.0%
  • 316.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Dynamo Dresden get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.

55%Possession58%
40%Territory31%
25%From set plays42%
0.14Chance quality0.09
4.3%Directness4.0%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Hannover 96, 3 for Dynamo Dresden. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 45 matches, not the full season.