2. Bundesliga · Matchweek 10
Greuther Fürth
GRE
Holstein Kiel
HOL
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Greuther Fürth40%
Draw27%
Holstein Kiel32%
Expected goals
1.44 – 1.27
Over 2.5
50%
Both to score
56%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.3%
- 1–09.9%
- 2–18.7%
- 0–18.6%
- 0–07.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Holstein Kiel get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
55%Possession53%
40%Territory40%
10%From set plays35%
0.10Chance quality0.10
5.7%Directness4.9%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Greuther Fürth, 3 for Holstein Kiel. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 45 matches, not the full season.