2. Bundesliga · Matchweek 10
Darmstadt
DAR
Magdeburg
MAG
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Darmstadt40%
Draw27%
Magdeburg33%
Expected goals
1.45 – 1.30
Over 2.5
51%
Both to score
57%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.2%
- 1–09.7%
- 2–18.7%
- 0–18.5%
- 1–27.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Magdeburg will have the ball; Darmstadt will not mind.
39%Possession52%
25%Territory36%
50%From set plays26%
0.12Chance quality0.07
5.4%Directness6.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Darmstadt, 3 for Magdeburg. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 45 matches, not the full season.