Skip to content
Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

2. Bundesliga · Matchweek 10

Arminia Bielefeld

ARM

Eintracht Braunschweig

EIN

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Arminia Bielefeld49%
Draw26%
Eintracht Braunschweig25%

Expected goals

1.63 – 1.12

Over 2.5

51%

Both to score

55%

Fair handicap

-0.50

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–111.8%
  • 1–011.0%
  • 2–19.5%
  • 2–08.2%
  • 0–07.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Arminia Bielefeld get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.

50%Possession46%
33%Territory37%
33%From set plays17%
0.08Chance quality0.12
5.8%Directness5.8%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Arminia Bielefeld, 3 for Eintracht Braunschweig. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 45 matches, not the full season.