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2. Bundesliga · Matchweek 9

VfL Osnabrück

VFL

Greuther Fürth

GRE

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

VfL Osnabrück39%
Draw27%
Greuther Fürth34%

Expected goals

1.50 – 1.40

Over 2.5

54%

Both to score

59%

Fair handicap

0.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 1111.8%
  • 108.7%
  • 218.6%
  • 018.1%
  • 127.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Greuther Fürth will have the ball; VfL Osnabrück will not mind.

40%Possession55%
32%Territory40%
26%From set plays10%
0.13Chance quality0.10
5.0%Directness5.7%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for VfL Osnabrück, 3 for Greuther Fürth. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 45 matches, not the full season.