2. Bundesliga · Matchweek 9
Darmstadt
DAR
St. Pauli
STP
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Darmstadt44%
Draw28%
St. Pauli28%
Expected goals
1.41 – 1.08
Over 2.5
45%
Both to score
51%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.7%
- 1–012.1%
- 0–09.5%
- 0–19.0%
- 2–18.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
St. Pauli will have the ball; Darmstadt will not mind.
39%Possession52%
25%Territory47%
50%From set plays32%
0.12Chance quality0.09
5.4%Directness4.6%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Darmstadt, 3 for St. Pauli. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 45 matches, not the full season.