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2. Bundesliga · Matchweek 8

Dynamo Dresden

DYN

Magdeburg

MAG

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Dynamo Dresden39%
Draw27%
Magdeburg34%

Expected goals

1.46 – 1.35

Over 2.5

52%

Both to score

58%

Fair handicap

0.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 1112.1%
  • 109.2%
  • 218.6%
  • 018.4%
  • 127.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Dynamo Dresden get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.

58%Possession52%
31%Territory36%
42%From set plays26%
0.09Chance quality0.07
4.0%Directness6.8%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Dynamo Dresden, 3 for Magdeburg. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 45 matches, not the full season.