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2. Bundesliga · Matchweek 8

Karlsruher SC

KAR

Darmstadt

DAR

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Karlsruher SC37%
Draw27%
Darmstadt36%

Expected goals

1.47 – 1.45

Over 2.5

55%

Both to score

60%

Fair handicap

0.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 1111.7%
  • 218.3%
  • 108.3%
  • 128.2%
  • 018.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Karlsruher SC will have the ball; Darmstadt will not mind.

49%Possession39%
40%Territory25%
43%From set plays50%
0.09Chance quality0.12
6.0%Directness5.4%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Karlsruher SC, 3 for Darmstadt. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 45 matches, not the full season.