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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

2. Bundesliga · Matchweek 8

Greuther Fürth

GRE

Eintracht Braunschweig

EIN

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Greuther Fürth43%
Draw26%
Eintracht Braunschweig31%

Expected goals

1.60 – 1.33

Over 2.5

55%

Both to score

60%

Fair handicap

-0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–111.6%
  • 2–19.0%
  • 1–09.0%
  • 1–27.4%
  • 0–17.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Greuther Fürth will have the ball; Eintracht Braunschweig will not mind.

55%Possession46%
40%Territory37%
10%From set plays17%
0.10Chance quality0.12
5.7%Directness5.8%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Greuther Fürth, 3 for Eintracht Braunschweig. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 45 matches, not the full season.