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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

2. Bundesliga · Matchweek 7

1. FC Nürnberg

FCN

Wolfsburg

WOL

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

1. FC Nürnberg53%
Draw24%
Wolfsburg22%

Expected goals

1.80 – 1.12

Over 2.5

55%

Both to score

57%

Fair handicap

-0.75

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–110.9%
  • 1–010.2%
  • 2–19.8%
  • 2–08.5%
  • 0–06.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Wolfsburg get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.

54%Possession56%
35%Territory35%
13%From set plays31%
0.10Chance quality0.12
4.8%Directness5.1%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for 1. FC Nürnberg, 3 for Wolfsburg. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 45 matches, not the full season.