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2. Bundesliga · Matchweek 7

Magdeburg

MAG

Hannover 96

HAN

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Magdeburg33%
Draw27%
Hannover 9640%

Expected goals

1.38 – 1.51

Over 2.5

54%

Both to score

59%

Fair handicap

0.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 1111.8%
  • 018.8%
  • 128.7%
  • 108.0%
  • 217.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.

52%Possession55%
36%Territory40%
26%From set plays25%
0.07Chance quality0.14
6.8%Directness4.3%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Magdeburg, 3 for Hannover 96. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 45 matches, not the full season.