2. Bundesliga · Matchweek 7
Hertha BSC
HER
Greuther Fürth
GRE
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Hertha BSC58%
Draw22%
Greuther Fürth20%
Expected goals
2.01 – 1.15
Over 2.5
60%
Both to score
60%
Fair handicap
-0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 2–19.9%
- 1–19.9%
- 1–09.1%
- 2–08.5%
- 3–16.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Hertha BSC get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
48%Possession55%
35%Territory40%
28%From set plays10%
0.12Chance quality0.10
6.7%Directness5.7%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Hertha BSC, 3 for Greuther Fürth. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Hertha BSC
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 45 matches, not the full season.