2. Bundesliga · Matchweek 7
FC Heidenheim
FCH
Kaiserslautern
KAI
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
FC Heidenheim39%
Draw27%
Kaiserslautern33%
Expected goals
1.43 – 1.30
Over 2.5
51%
Both to score
57%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.3%
- 1–09.7%
- 0–18.7%
- 2–18.6%
- 1–27.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
40%Possession48%
30%Territory41%
28%From set plays28%
0.17Chance quality0.09
9.1%Directness5.7%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for FC Heidenheim, 3 for Kaiserslautern. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 45 matches, not the full season.