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2. Bundesliga · Matchweek 7

Darmstadt

DAR

Energie Cottbus

ENE

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Darmstadt46%
Draw25%
Energie Cottbus29%

Expected goals

1.74 – 1.37

Over 2.5

59%

Both to score

62%

Fair handicap

-0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1110.8%
  • 219.2%
  • 108.3%
  • 127.1%
  • 206.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Energie Cottbus will have the ball; Darmstadt will not mind.

39%Possession49%
25%Territory41%
50%From set plays23%
0.12Chance quality0.11
5.4%Directness6.7%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Darmstadt, 3 for Energie Cottbus. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 45 matches, not the full season.