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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

2. Bundesliga · Matchweek 7

Eintracht Braunschweig

EIN

Holstein Kiel

HOL

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Eintracht Braunschweig40%
Draw28%
Holstein Kiel32%

Expected goals

1.41 – 1.26

Over 2.5

49%

Both to score

55%

Fair handicap

-0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–112.4%
  • 1–010.2%
  • 0–18.9%
  • 2–18.6%
  • 0–08.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Holstein Kiel get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.

46%Possession53%
37%Territory40%
17%From set plays35%
0.12Chance quality0.10
5.8%Directness4.9%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Eintracht Braunschweig, 3 for Holstein Kiel. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 45 matches, not the full season.