2. Bundesliga · Matchweek 7
Bochum
BOC
Arminia Bielefeld
ARM
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Bochum41%
Draw29%
Arminia Bielefeld30%
Expected goals
1.34 – 1.10
Over 2.5
44%
Both to score
51%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–113.0%
- 1–012.0%
- 0–09.9%
- 0–19.6%
- 2–18.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
55%Possession50%
37%Territory33%
26%From set plays33%
0.09Chance quality0.08
4.9%Directness5.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Bochum, 3 for Arminia Bielefeld. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 45 matches, not the full season.