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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

2. Bundesliga · Matchweek 6

Wolfsburg

WOL

Darmstadt

DAR

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Wolfsburg43%
Draw26%
Darmstadt31%

Expected goals

1.56 – 1.32

Over 2.5

54%

Both to score

59%

Fair handicap

-0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–111.7%
  • 1–09.2%
  • 2–19.0%
  • 0–17.6%
  • 1–27.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Wolfsburg will have the ball; Darmstadt will not mind.

56%Possession39%
35%Territory25%
31%From set plays50%
0.12Chance quality0.12
5.1%Directness5.4%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Wolfsburg, 3 for Darmstadt. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 45 matches, not the full season.