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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

2. Bundesliga · Matchweek 6

Dynamo Dresden

DYN

Hertha BSC

HER

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Dynamo Dresden32%
Draw26%
Hertha BSC42%

Expected goals

1.36 – 1.59

Over 2.5

55%

Both to score

60%

Fair handicap

0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–111.6%
  • 1–28.9%
  • 0–18.8%
  • 2–17.5%
  • 1–07.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Dynamo Dresden will have the ball; Hertha BSC will not mind.

58%Possession48%
31%Territory35%
42%From set plays28%
0.09Chance quality0.12
4.0%Directness6.7%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Dynamo Dresden, 3 for Hertha BSC. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 45 matches, not the full season.