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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

2. Bundesliga · Matchweek 6

Karlsruher SC

KAR

1. FC Nürnberg

FCN

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Karlsruher SC28%
Draw26%
1. FC Nürnberg46%

Expected goals

1.26 – 1.66

Over 2.5

55%

Both to score

59%

Fair handicap

0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–111.5%
  • 0–19.5%
  • 1–29.3%
  • 0–27.1%
  • 1–07.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Karlsruher SC get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.

49%Possession54%
40%Territory35%
43%From set plays13%
0.09Chance quality0.10
6.0%Directness4.8%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Karlsruher SC, 3 for 1. FC Nürnberg. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 45 matches, not the full season.