2. Bundesliga · Matchweek 6
Holstein Kiel
HOL
VfL Osnabrück
VFL
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Holstein Kiel47%
Draw27%
VfL Osnabrück26%
Expected goals
1.56 – 1.12
Over 2.5
49%
Both to score
54%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.1%
- 1–011.2%
- 2–19.4%
- 2–08.0%
- 0–07.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Holstein Kiel will have the ball; VfL Osnabrück will not mind.
53%Possession40%
40%Territory32%
35%From set plays26%
0.10Chance quality0.13
4.9%Directness5.0%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Holstein Kiel, 3 for VfL Osnabrück. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 45 matches, not the full season.